Unexpected: Fidesz’s support falls after a long time

Fidesz parliamentary group leader Máté Kocsis
Photo: facebook.com/kocsismate

According to the results of a representative opinion poll conducted by the IDEA Institute between 28 July and 9 August 2023, the popularity of the governing parties (Fidesz-KDNP) has declined slightly for the first time this year compared to the last survey period.

Despite a larger-than-usual shift, none of the opposition parties managed to increase their support. Thus, it is questionable how long the decline in support for the governing parties will prove to be lasting, napi.hu writes.

As the summer drew to a close, support for the governing parties fell below 30% again after a long period. At the beginning of August, 27 percent of adults would have voted for Fidesz-KDNP, a 3% drop in support for the party among the population as a whole and a 2% drop among those who were sure voters compared to the previous month.

If parliamentary elections had been held in Hungary in July 2023…

  • …the victory of Fidesz-KDNP would still not have been threatened by the opposition;
  • …the second strongest party, the Democratic Coalition (DK), would have won 12% of the total population. This would have meant a 20% share of the vote among the party voters who were certain to vote;
  • Mi Hazánk (Our Homeland), Momentum and most likely the Hungarian Two-Tailed Dog Party would have crossed the 5% threshold.

The share of Fidesz-KDNP voters among the total population has fallen significantly, by around 8 percentage points since July 2022.

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