The race continues: Tisza Party extends lead over ruling Fidesz
The latest public opinion poll by the liberal-leaning Republikon Institute shows that the Tisza Party has solidified its lead over Hungary’s long-ruling Fidesz–KDNP alliance, marking its strongest performance yet.
According to the June 2025 data, the Tisza Party maintains a 32% support rate among the general population, matching its result from May, while Fidesz–KDNP has slipped by one percentage point to 27%. This represents a five-point gap in favour of Tisza, up from a four-point lead the previous month.
Among committed party voters, the difference is even more striking: Tisza currently stands at 41%, with Fidesz–KDNP trailing at 34%. The gap is largest among voters who say they are certain to vote, where Tisza leads 43% to 34%—a nine-point margin.
Turnout likely to shape outcome
According to ATV, a key factor in Tisza’s advantage is the higher voter engagement among its supporters. Three-quarters (75%) of Tisza voters say they will definitely turn out on election day, compared to 68% of Fidesz–KDNP voters. While Fidesz has historically been successful in mobilising voters in the final stretch of campaigns, the data suggests Tisza’s base is currently more energised.
The survey highlights that Tisza’s growing momentum may be linked not only to voter enthusiasm but also to a larger shift in political preferences.
Smaller parties see mixed results
The far-right Mi Hazánk (Our Homeland) Movement retains third place with unchanged support: 6% among the total population, 8% among party voters, and 7% among likely voters.
The satirical Two-Tailed Dog Party (Kétfarkú Kutya Párt) continues to gain traction, overtaking the Democratic Coalition (DK) for fourth place. Its support has risen to 5% among the general population and 7% among party voters. Among committed voters, it polls at 6%—enough to cross the parliamentary threshold.
In contrast, support for DK has dropped slightly to 5% in the general population and 6% among party and committed voters, respectively. Momentum has also seen a decline, now polling at just 1% across all categories.
Support for other minor parties remains negligible, and the proportion of undecided voters has increased to 21%, up from 18% in May.
Survey details
The poll was conducted by phone between 28 May and 3 June 2025, with a representative sample of 1,000 adults. The results are weighted by gender, age, education, and settlement type. The margin of error is ±3.5%.
Stay informed: read more about surveys in Hungary HERE.
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